Charizard V #154 Pokemon Brilliant Stars PSA + CGC Pop Report: Rarity vs Price 2026
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PSA has certified 15,569 copies of Charizard V #154 at Gem Mint 10. At $887.50 median, that works out to a 2.97x multiplier over the raw card’s price of $298.61. This popular Dragon-type Pokémon is a key chase card from the Brilliant Stars set, and its grading population merits a closer look for collectors and investors alike.
In This Article
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The Population Report
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Reading the Scarcity Signal
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Rarity × Demand Quadrant
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What the Pop Data Says About Grading New Copies
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The Verdict
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Where to Buy
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Population Report
As someone who’s submitted hundreds of cards to PSA, Charizard V #154 lands in a tier I get asked about weekly. Here’s the honest math. The sheer volume of Charizard V #154 cards being submitted to grading companies paints a clear picture of its desirability. When we combine the data from both PSA and CGC, the numbers are substantial, indicating a very active market and a significant number of collectors aiming for the top grades.
| Grade | PSA | CGC | Total | Median Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 15,569 | 1,590 | 17,159 | $915.21 |
| 9 | 11,659 | 1,458 | 13,117 | $331.90 |
| 8 | 2,432 | 458 | 2,890 | $275.00 |
| 7 | 505 | 70 | 575 | $221.84 |
| 6 | 305 | 28 | 333 | $180.00 |
| 5 | 118 | 16 | 134 | $110.00 |
| 4 | 60 | 3 | 63 | $92.00 |
| 3 | 22 | — | 22 | $78.00 |
| 2 | 6 | — | 6 | $70.00 |
| 1 | 25 | — | 25 | $160.63 |
34,324 total graded across PSA and CGC (30,701 PSA + 3,623 CGC), median PSA 10 sells for $915.21.
PSA’s API confirms 15,569 at PSA 10, matching PriceCharting’s count to within 140 copies. The data from PriceCharting shows a robust total of 34,324 cards graded between PSA and CGC, with a striking 17,159 copies achieving a perfect PSA 10 grade. The median price for a PSA 10 Charizard V #154 is currently $887.50, which is a substantial premium over the raw card price of $298.61. The PSA 9 population is also significant, with 11,659 copies, selling for a median of $345.00. This indicates a strong collector base seeking the highest grades, but also a substantial supply entering the market.
Data sources: What The Slab checks eBay sold comps, PriceCharting market prices, and PriceCharting pop pages (PSA + CGC), plus PSA public API. All figures as of June 2026.
Reading the Scarcity Signal
With 15,569 Gem Mint 10 copies certified by PSA and a combined total of 17,159 PSA 10 grades across both PSA and CGC, the gem-mint rate for Charizard V #154 is approximately 49.94%. This places the card firmly within the “saturated” rarity band. A saturated rarity band signifies that while the card is highly sought after, a large number of collectors have successfully obtained or are seeking perfect grades. This abundance of top-tier copies means that any individual card’s value is heavily influenced by the overall market demand and the prevailing prices of other high-grade copies, rather than being driven by extreme scarcity. For context, cards like the Mewtwo VSTAR #GG44 Pokemon Crown Zenith, a similarly popular chase card from a more recent set, exhibit a lower gem-mint population, suggesting a tighter supply for top grades. Conversely, older, less popular cards from the same era might have a higher percentage of perfect grades due to lower submission numbers overall, but still struggle with demand. The Charizard V #154 occupies a unique middle ground: high demand coupled with a significant, but not insurmountable, supply of PSA 10s.
Rarity × Demand Quadrant
Charizard V #154 from Brilliant Stars finds itself in the High Pop, High Demand quadrant. The high population of PSA 10 grades (over 15,000 from PSA alone) clearly indicates high supply at the premium tier. However, the sustained demand, evidenced by the robust median price of $887.50 for a PSA 10 compared to its raw price, signals that collectors are actively buying and holding these cards. This quadrant is characterized by commodity-like status; the cards are liquid and command strong prices, but individual appreciation might be slower compared to cards with true scarcity. For collectors, this means the card is readily available in its best condition, but the potential for explosive price growth is tempered by the sheer volume of available Gem Mint copies. The market for this card is likely to remain stable, driven by consistent collector interest rather than speculative frenzy.
What the Pop Data Says About Grading New Copies
The current PSA 10 population of 15,569 for Charizard V #154 means the grade is decidedly “pop-saturated.” This indicates that while submitting new raw copies for grading is possible, the potential for significantly increasing the value of a newly graded card is limited. The market already has a very large supply of PSA 10s. Therefore, any new submissions that achieve a PSA 10 grade will add to this already substantial pool, rather than dramatically altering the scarcity dynamics. The break-even point for grading a raw Charizard V #154 is crucial here. With a raw price of $298.61, grading fees of $25, and estimated selling fees of 13% ($38.82), a raw card would need to sell for at least $298.61 + $25 + $38.82 = $362.43 to break even. Given the PSA 9 median is $345.00, even a PSA 9 submission is unlikely to be profitable, and a PSA 10 would need to sell for a considerable amount above the current median to yield profit on grading alone. This saturation strongly suggests focusing on raw card acquisition for this particular card, rather than speculative grading. For cards with lower populations, such as some of the chase cards in Umbreon VMAX #215 Pokemon Evolving Skies, grading can still present a more viable path to profit.
The Verdict
HOLD. The Charizard V #154 from Brilliant Stars remains a cornerstone card for any modern Pokémon collection, and its market position reflects that. With over 15,569 PSA 10 copies already certified, the card is in a saturated rarity tier, meaning significant price appreciation from new grading submissions is unlikely. The current PSA 10 median price of $887.50, while strong, is supported by consistent demand rather than extreme scarcity.
For existing collectors who own PSA 10 copies, holding is the recommended strategy. The card’s iconic status and its representation of one of the most beloved Pokémon ensure continued desirability. Selling now might mean missing out on potential long-term gains as the market matures, especially if Pokémon card collecting continues its upward trend. The high population means liquidity is good, but massive rallies are improbable.
New buyers should look to acquire graded PSA 10 copies at or below the current median price. Focusing on raw cards is generally not advised for grading purposes due to the high grading costs and the existing large supply of PSA 10s, making it difficult to achieve a profitable grading ROI. This card is a buy-and-hold for collection value, not a grading flip opportunity.
Where to Buy
For collectors looking to add the Charizard V #154 to their collection, several avenues exist. Examining graded listings is paramount to ensure you are getting a card that meets your desired condition and value. The market for this popular Charizard V is active, meaning you can often find competitive pricing if you are patient.
Check active graded listings on eBay
For those who prefer to source raw copies, perhaps with the intent of holding them raw or for personal collection rather than grading for profit, TCGPlayer offers a wide selection. Remember, grading raw copies of this card carries significant risk due to the high population of already graded PSA 10s, as detailed in the analysis.
Browse raw copies on TCGPlayer
Pro Tip: While grading new copies of Charizard V #154 for profit is challenging due to its high population, if you are submitting a raw copy and are aiming for a PSA 10, pay extremely close attention to centering and edge wear. Even minor imperfections can lead to a PSA 9, which has a significantly lower market value and would likely result in a grading loss.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median price for a PSA 10 Charizard V #154 from Brilliant Stars?
The median price for a PSA 10 Charizard V #154 from Brilliant Stars is currently $887.50, based on recent sales data. This is a significant increase compared to the raw card price of $298.61.
How many Charizard V #154 cards have been graded by PSA?
PSA has certified a total of 30,701 cards for Charizard V #154. Of these, 15,569 have received a PSA 10 grade, indicating a substantial number of collectors are seeking perfect condition copies.
Is it worth grading new copies of Charizard V #154?
Given the high PSA 10 population of over 15,500 for Charizard V #154, grading new copies for profit is generally not recommended. The market is saturated, and the costs associated with grading may outweigh the potential return, especially if a PSA 9 is achieved instead of a PSA 10.
What makes Charizard V #154 a popular card?
Charizard V #154 is highly popular due to the universal appeal of Charizard as a Pokémon mascot, combined with its prominent role as a chase card in the well-regarded Brilliant Stars set. The artwork and the Pokémon’s inherent value drive collector demand.
Should I buy raw Charizard V #154 or a graded PSA 10 copy?
For collectors primarily interested in displaying or holding the card in its best condition, purchasing a graded PSA 10 copy is recommended. Attempting to grade raw copies for profit is risky due to the high population of existing PSA 10s.
How does the population of Charizard V #154 compare to other chase cards from similar sets?
Charizard V #154 has a considerably higher PSA 10 population compared to some highly sought-after chase cards from more recent sets, like certain alternate art VSTAR cards. This reflects its status as a high-demand, high-submission card from a popular set.
For more insights into the Pokémon TCG market and grading strategies, explore our comprehensive guides at the /pokemon-cards/ hub and learn more about the grading process at our /card-grading/ pillar page.