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Groudon #199 Pokemon Paradox Rift PSA + CGC Pop Report: Rarity vs Price (2026)

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The Groudon #199 from Pokemon Paradox Rift is a HOLD for collectors and investors in 2026, with its robust PSA 10 population of 5,704 at a $574.99 median price indicating a stable, albeit not explosive, market. Understanding the card’s scarcity relative to demand is key to maximizing its long-term value.

I pulled every Groudon #199 sold listing from the last 90 days — raw, PSA 9, PSA 10, BGS, CGC — and the gap between grades tells you exactly what to do. PSA has certified 5,704 copies of Groudon #199 at Gem Mint 10. At $574.99 median, that works out to a 4.42x multiplier versus the raw card’s $116.25 median price. Last updated: May 2026. This analysis delves into the population report and market dynamics to provide a clear recommendation for collectors and investors looking at this highly sought-after Legendary Pokémon. The Paradox Rift set continues to draw significant attention, and understanding the population data for key cards like Groudon is crucial for informed decisions.

In This Article

• The Population Report

• Reading the Scarcity Signal

• Rarity × Demand Quadrant

• What the Pop Data Says About Grading New Copies

• The Verdict

• Where to Buy

The Population Report

The comprehensive grading data for Groudon #199 from Pokemon Paradox Rift paints a clear picture of its market presence. As of May 2026, the combined PSA and CGC population stands at a significant 16,754 graded copies. Within this total, PSA accounts for 16,018 submissions, with a notable 5,704 achieving the coveted PSA 10 Gem Mint grade. CGC has certified 736 copies, with 399 reaching Gem Mint status. The distribution across various grades highlights a strong collector base actively seeking high-grade examples.

16,754 total graded across PSA and CGC (16,018 PSA + 736 CGC), median PSA 10 sells for $569.09. PSA’s API confirms 5,704 at PSA 10, aligning closely with the PriceCharting data. This near-identical count across sources lends strong credibility to the population figures. The substantial number of PSA 9 grades (8,388) also indicates a healthy market for near-mint examples, though the price difference between a PSA 9 and a PSA 10 remains significant, underscoring the premium commanded by perfect condition. The overwhelming majority of graded cards fall into the PSA 8, 9, and 10 tiers, showing collectors’ focus on higher-end conditions for this particular card.

Data sources: Prices cited above reflect eBay sold comps, PriceCharting market prices, and PriceCharting pop page (PSA + CGC) and PSA public API. All figures as of May 2026.

Reading the Scarcity Signal

The population data for Groudon #199 reveals a significant number of graded copies, placing it firmly in the “saturated” scarcity tier. With 5,704 PSA 10 Gem Mint examples out of a total of 16,636 certified cards by PSA alone, the gem-mint rate hovers around 34%. This figure indicates that while many collectors are submitting this card for grading, a substantial portion is achieving the highest grade. In the context of the overall Pokémon TCG market, a 34% gem-mint rate for a popular chase card from a recent set suggests that while achieving a PSA 10 is attainable, the sheer volume means that individual cards may not carry the same rarity premium as cards with much lower gem-mint rates. For comparison, consider a card like the Charizard ex from Obsidian Flames, which, despite high submission numbers, has a lower gem-mint rate due to its complex holographic patterns and potential for print defects. Similarly, even popular cards from earlier eras might see lower gem-mint rates simply due to the passage of time and the conditions of cards that survived. The high total certified count for Groudon #199 indicates strong demand but also a plentiful supply at the highest grades.

Rarity × Demand Quadrant

Positioning Groudon #199 on a rarity versus demand quadrant reveals it to be in the High Pop + High Demand category. The rarity is established by its substantial PSA 10 population of 5,704, which is considerable for a single card from a relatively recent set. Demand is evident in its consistent median sale price of $574.99 for a PSA 10, a strong figure that reflects sustained interest. This quadrant signifies a commodity-like market: the card is widely available in high grades and actively traded. While this means it’s less likely to experience explosive appreciation driven purely by scarcity, its liquidity and consistent demand make it a stable investment, especially for collectors who value having a graded centerpiece from the Paradox Rift set. This also means that while new submissions will increase the pop count, the underlying demand for Groudon as a powerful and iconic Pokémon should continue to support its value.

What the Pop Data Says About Grading New Copies

With a PSA 10 population of 5,704 for Groudon #199, the card is definitively in the “pop-saturated” tier. This means that while grading new copies can still be profitable, the diminishing returns are becoming increasingly apparent. The sheer volume of existing Gem Mint 10s means that each new submission only slightly increases the overall supply, and thus, the impact on the market price of existing PSA 10s is minimal. For collectors contemplating submitting raw copies, the break-even point needs careful consideration. Assuming a raw card cost of $116.25, a grading fee of $25, and 13% in marketplace fees (approximately $74.72 on a $574.99 sale), the total cost to get a card to market and sell it would be around $216. If the card sells for the median PSA 10 price of $574.99, the profit margin is still healthy at approximately $358.74 per card. However, this assumes consistently achieving PSA 10. Given the high gem-mint rate, focusing on cards with exceptional centering and pristine edges is paramount to capitalize on this profit. For those who have excellent raw copies, the opportunity to grade for profit still exists, but the margin is tighter than for cards with a lower pop count, making careful selection crucial.

The Verdict

The Groudon #199 from Pokemon Paradox Rift is a HOLD for the discerning collector and investor in 2026. The card boasts a substantial PSA 10 population of 5,704, which, while indicating significant availability, also confirms its widespread desirability and collector demand. The current median price of $574.99 for a PSA 10 Groudon #199, compared to its raw price of $116.25, showcases a robust market multiplier that still offers value.

While the “saturated” scarcity tier means rapid, explosive price gains driven solely by rarity are unlikely, the consistent demand for this powerful Legendary Pokémon ensures a stable market. Collectors who already own a graded copy should hold onto it, as its iconic status and the continued interest in the Paradox Rift set provide a solid foundation for long-term value retention. Those looking to acquire one should focus on acquiring high-grade examples, ideally PSA 10, for their collection.

For those considering grading new copies, exercise caution. While the profit margin remains, the high pop count means success hinges on obtaining near-perfect grades. The strategy should be to acquire pristine raw copies that demonstrably exceed the standards for a PSA 10, rather than submitting every available raw card. Investing in this card now offers a blend of stability and potential for gradual appreciation, making it a sound addition to a diversified Pokémon TCG portfolio.

Where to Buy

For those looking to acquire the Groudon #199, focusing on graded examples, particularly PSA 10, is recommended to capture the card’s premium value. The secondary market offers a good selection, but diligence in checking seller reputation and card condition is advised.

Check active graded listings on eBay provides a vast marketplace where you can compare prices and availability for PSA-graded copies. This is often the best starting point for identifying deals and understanding current market pricing for various grades.

If you are interested in raw copies to potentially grade yourself, exploring options on Browse raw copies on TCGPlayer can be beneficial. TCGPlayer often provides competitive pricing and a good range of sellers, allowing for comparison of raw card conditions before making a grading submission.

Pro Tip: Given the high gem-mint rate for Groudon #199, when buying graded copies, pay close attention to the centering and surface condition. Even within PSA 10, slight variations in these aspects can lead to subtle price differences in the secondary market, offering opportunities to find value if you’re meticulous.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current median price for a PSA 10 Groudon #199 from Paradox Rift?

As of May 2026, the median price for a PSA 10 Groudon #199 from the Paradox Rift set is $574.99. This figure reflects the strong demand for this iconic Legendary Pokémon in its highest grade.

How many PSA 10 copies of Groudon #199 have been graded?

PSA has certified 5,704 copies of Groudon #199 at the Gem Mint 10 grade. This substantial population indicates its popularity and the success collectors have had in obtaining high grades.

Is Groudon #199 considered a rare card in Paradox Rift?

While popular, Groudon #199 is not considered rare in terms of its graded population. With 5,704 PSA 10s and 8,740 PSA 9s, it falls into the “saturated” scarcity tier, meaning supply is plentiful at higher grades.

Should I submit raw Groudon #199 cards for grading in 2026?

Submitting raw Groudon #199 cards for grading can still be profitable, but it’s crucial to select only pristine examples due to the high PSA 10 population (5,704). Focus on cards with exceptional centering and minimal surface or edge wear to maximize your return on investment.

How does the PSA 9 price compare to the PSA 10 price for Groudon #199?

The median price for a PSA 9 Groudon #199 is $129.99, while the PSA 10 median is $574.99. This significant price gap of over 4x highlights the substantial premium collectors place on achieving the perfect Gem Mint 10 grade.

Where can I find the most up-to-date pricing and population data for Groudon #199?

You can find up-to-date pricing and population data for Groudon #199 on sites like PriceCharting, which aggregate sales data and PSA/CGC population reports. Auction sites like eBay also provide valuable sold listing data.

For further exploration into the world of Pokémon card collecting and grading, explore our Pokemon Cards hub and delve into our comprehensive guides on card grading.